Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner$5k liquidity$25k volumecloses 1.1y
africaNigeriaPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsNigerian Election
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
25.0¢
Implied chance
25.0%
Return if right
300.0%
Spread cost
5%

If you put in $100

You get 400.0 shares at 25.0¢ each.

YES wins: $400.00 back, a profit of $300.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $316.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
77.0¢
Implied chance
77.0%
Return if right
29.9%
Spread cost
5%

If you put in $100

You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.

NO wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $31.58.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%24%69%Sep 17Sep 24

Latest: Sep 24, 09:12 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

Other outcomes in Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

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Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? (25% chance) | PullToPar