Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 75.0¢
- Implied chance
- 75.0%
- Return if right
- 33.3%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.
YES wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 26.0¢
- Implied chance
- 26.0%
- Return if right
- 284.6%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 384.6 shares at 26.0¢ each.
NO wins: $384.62 back, a profit of $284.62. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $292.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:38 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec g…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Other outcomes in Quebec General Election Winner
- Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?