Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 95.3¢
- Implied chance
- 95.3%
- Return if right
- 4.9%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 104.9 shares at 95.3¢ each.
YES wins: $104.93 back, a profit of $4.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.27.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 7.1¢
- Implied chance
- 7.1%
- Return if right
- 1308.5%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 1408.5 shares at 7.1¢ each.
NO wins: $1408.45 back, a profit of $1308.45. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $286.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $1594.92.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- David Ellison Mulls Tapping Elon Musk for Paramount Investment While Closing in on Warner Bros. Takeover: ReportVariety · 11h ago
- Paramount plans $49 billion debt sale for Warner Bros. mergerYahoo Finance · 16h ago
- NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani Slams Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger: “Shameful Monument to Corruption”The Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
- Paramount-Warner Bros. Settlement to Be Considered at Thursday Court HearingThe Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
- CNN staffers accept new reality as Paramount's takeover of Warner Bros Discovery goes full steam aheadFox News · 1d ago
- All the Top Shows, Movies and Networks in the Merged Paramount-Warner Bros: ‘Yellowstone,’ ‘Harry Potter,’ ‘Mission: Impossible’ and DC Under One RoofVariety · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.