Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?

• Majority Leader Thune files cloture on Clarity Act, setting up Sept. 15 Senate voteThe Block · 2d ago
• Senate Keeps Clarity Act Alive With Crypto Bill Vote Set for SeptemberDecrypt · 2d ago
• US Senate to vote on advancing CLARITY Act in September after Thune files clotureCointelegraph · 2d ago
• U.S. Senate opens first stage of crypto Clarity Act voting to give bill a chance next monthCoinDesk · 2d ago
• Senators Cynthia Lummis and Angela Alsobrooks Say Bipartisan Work on Clarity Act Continues Despite DelaysBitcoin Magazine · 3d ago
• XRP at a Crossroads as Senate Punts on Clarity ActDecrypt · 3d ago

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered. If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". If qualifying legislation passes the Senate before January 1, 2027 without a prior recorded vote on final passage (e.g., passage by voice vote or unanimous consent), this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of the number specified in this market's title. Once the result of the vote has been announced, any subsequent request by a Senator to add, remove, or change a vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).