Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 68.3¢
- Implied chance
- 68.3%
- Return if right
- 46.4%
- Spread cost
- 75%
If you put in $100
You get 146.4 shares at 68.3¢ each.
YES wins: $146.41 back, a profit of $46.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $138.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $184.90.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.1¢
- Implied chance
- 98.1%
- Return if right
- 1.9%
- Spread cost
- 96%
If you put in $100
You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.
NO wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $52.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $54.08.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 24, 12:27 PM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Inherent, founded by DeepMind alumni, says its AI ‘teammate’ just outperformed Anthropic and OpenAI at replicating researchTechCrunch · 2d ago
- OpenAI says California should strengthen its AI safety billTechCrunch · 2d ago
- OpenAI Hits the Brakes on Frontier AI Training Over Cybersecurity FearsYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Meta Platforms (META) Undercuts Anthropic and OpenAI on Price With New Coding AgentYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Gwyneth Paltrow Pokes Fun at That Viral Dinner Party Invite for OpenAI’s Sam AltmanThe Hollywood Reporter · 3d ago
- OpenAI's $7 billion payday just hit a costly tax snagYahoo Finance · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?
- Will OpenAI raise less than $30B in its IPO?