Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $6566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.52.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- OpenAI Says Its Next AI Model Astra May Be Too Dangerous, Pauses DevelopmentDecrypt · 1h ago
- OpenAI acquires NextSlide to support ChatGPT developmentYahoo Finance · 7h ago
- Monica Barbaro Teases Luca Guadagnino’s OpenAI Film ‘Artificial,’ Addresses Timothée Chalamet’s Ballet CommentsThe Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- OpenAI acquires presentation startup NextSlideTechCrunch · 2d ago
- OpenAI acquires presentation startup NextSlideYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- OpenAI to pause some work on AI model Astra due to security concernsThe Guardian · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.