Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 67.0¢
- Implied chance
- 67.0%
- Return if right
- 49.3%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 149.3 shares at 67.0¢ each.
YES wins: $149.25 back, a profit of $49.25. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $75.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 53.0¢
- Implied chance
- 53.0%
- Return if right
- 88.7%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.
NO wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $43.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $132.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 22, 07:11 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- OpenAI IPO Collapse?Yahoo Finance · 14h ago
- Trump slams AI sceptics as Altman pauses OpenAI IPO plans over safety concernsFrance 24 · 11d ago
- OpenAI IPO will not happen in 2026 amid AI safety fears, Sam Altman saysThe Guardian · 11d ago
- OpenAI IPO won't happen this year, says Sam AltmanCoinDesk · 11d ago
- China Could Absolutely Cripple Anthropic And OpenAI IPOsYahoo Finance · 12d ago
- How The Anthropic And OpenAI IPOs Could Shake Up The AI BrawlYahoo Finance · 27d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.