Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.0¢
- Implied chance
- 20.0%
- Return if right
- 400.0%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.
YES wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $412.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 81.0¢
- Implied chance
- 81.0%
- Return if right
- 23.5%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.
NO wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.77 of that profit. Without it you would make $24.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:27 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Australia Says OpenAI ‘Infiltrated’ Public Health Care PortalThe New York Times · 47m ago
- Australia says OpenAI agent hacked Medicare portalAl Jazeera · 54m ago
- OpenAI, Anthropic CEOs call for global AI regulation at UNAl Jazeera · 3h ago
- OpenAI, Anthropic CEOs at UN call for global AI cooperation: 'We are at a crossroads'ABC News · 5h ago
- OpenAI agent 'infiltrated' Australian government website, PM saysBBC Business · 5h ago
- US rejects pleas from OpenAI, Anthropic for global AI standardsBBC Business · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.