Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Q: Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 5%. A YES share costs 4.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2027.7% over 4.7mo.

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?$3k liquidity$56k volumecloses 4.7mo

Techsam altmanBig TechJony IveBusinessAI

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 4.7¢
Implied chance: 4.7%
Return if right: 2027.7%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 2127.7 shares at 4.7¢ each.

YES wins: $2127.66 back, a profit of $2027.66. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $436.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $2464.10.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.9¢
Implied chance: 96.9%
Return if right: 3.2%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 103.2 shares at 96.9¢ each.

NO wins: $103.20 back, a profit of $3.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.06.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 12, 06:33 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.