Will Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4285.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $14185.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.6¢
- Implied chance
- 99.6%
- Return if right
- 0.4%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 100.4 shares at 99.6¢ each.
NO wins: $100.40 back, a profit of $0.40. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi0.7%
- Solomon Olamilekan Adeola84.5%
- Oladipupo Adebutu2.4%
- Bolaji Odusina5.0%
- Biodun Ogundipe3.5%
- Adekunle Adenuga0.7%
Latest: Aug 22, 01:33 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
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How this market resolves
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Other outcomes in Ogun, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
- Will Solomon Olamilekan Adeola win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?
- Will Oladipupo Adebutu win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?
- Will Bolaji Odusina win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?
- Will Rotimi Babajide win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?
- Will Biodun Ogundipe win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?
- Will Adekunle Adenuga win the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election?