Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Q: Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Prediction markets currently price this at 6%. A YES share costs 6.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1566.7% over 21d.

2nd Largest Company end of August?$40k liquidity$47k volumecloses 21d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 6.0¢
Implied chance: 6.0%
Return if right: 1566.7%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.

YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $1900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.26.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 11, 07:37 AM2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.