Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Q: Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 97%. A YES share costs 96.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3.4% over 27d.

Largest Company end of October 2026?$20k liquidity$29k volumecloses 27d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 96.7¢
Implied chance: 96.7%
Return if right: 3.4%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 103.4 shares at 96.7¢ each.

YES wins: $103.41 back, a profit of $3.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.66.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 5.6¢
Implied chance: 5.6%
Return if right: 1685.7%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 1785.7 shares at 5.6¢ each.

NO wins: $1785.71 back, a profit of $1685.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $461.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $2147.19.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Oct 5, 05:07 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.