Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.2¢
- Implied chance
- 7.2%
- Return if right
- 1288.9%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 1388.9 shares at 7.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1388.89 back, a profit of $1288.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $39.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $1328.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.2¢
- Implied chance
- 93.2%
- Return if right
- 7.3%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 107.3 shares at 93.2¢ each.
NO wins: $107.30 back, a profit of $7.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Novak Djokovic says health condition has been bothering him for "past couple of years"CBS News · 2d ago
- Novak Djokovic reveals unspecified health issue after ouster at Cincinnati OpenNBC News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30,…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Novak Djokovic officially announces his retirement from ATP Tour professional tennis by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Novak Djokovic is retiring or indefinitely departing from ATP Tour professional tennis with intention of not participating in any event that contributes to an ATP ranking. The announcement must come from Novak Djokovic or official representatives thereof. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from professional competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave competition in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify). If Djokovic retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in the Olympics, that retirement will still qualify. Olympic participation, or participation in a tennis competition which does not contribute to an ATP ranking, will have no bearing on this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof.