Will Notre Dame have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 90.0¢
- Implied chance
- 90.0%
- Return if right
- 11.1%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.
YES wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 14.0¢
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Return if right
- 614.3%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.
NO wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $119.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $733.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 1, 04:27 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- After Notre-Dame Fire, France Restored the Cathedral — but Not These WindowsThe New York Times · 18d ago
- Notre Dame caves, lives up to Marcus Freeman's promise as USC rivalry game is officially backFox News · 28d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Notre Dame have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.