Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.0¢
- Implied chance
- 6.0%
- Return if right
- 1566.7%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $555.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Nir Barkat4.5%
- No Next Minister by Feb 2835.0%
- Bezalel Smotrich5.7%
- Avigdor Lieberman15.5%
- Yair Lapid10.5%
- Yaron Zelekha3.9%
Latest: Oct 5, 04:15 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Israeli soccer players wear armbands to remember terror attack victims as Irish opponents pull stunt againFox News · 9h ago
- Israeli journalists banned from media call after Republic of Ireland matchSky News · 10h ago
- Jerusalem Daily: Israeli forces arrest school children during raidAl Jazeera · 13h ago
- Israeli investigators believe alleged FlyDubai hijacker was lone wolf, sources sayCBS News · 14h ago
- Irish soccer official clashes with Israeli journalist before Ireland meets Israel in Nations League matchFox News · 14h ago
- Israeli Authorities Trade Blame for Failure to Flag FlyDubai Co-PilotThe New York Times · 18h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Finance will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Finance” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Finance are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Finance assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will Shaul Meridor be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
- Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?