Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.3¢
- Implied chance
- 8.3%
- Return if right
- 1104.8%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 1204.8 shares at 8.3¢ each.
YES wins: $1204.82 back, a profit of $1104.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $992.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $2097.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.2¢
- Implied chance
- 99.2%
- Return if right
- 0.8%
- Spread cost
- 83%
If you put in $100
You get 100.8 shares at 99.2¢ each.
NO wins: $100.81 back, a profit of $0.81. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.77.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 04:32 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will NiP win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general elec…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
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