Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
YES wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.3¢
- Implied chance
- 0.3%
- Return if right
- 33233.3%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.
NO wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $39900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Nick Begich III99.8%
- Bill Hill98.2%
- John Williams37.5%
- Matt Schultz47.9%
- Matthew "Bronco" Williams31.0%
- Gavin Solomon3.9%
Latest: Aug 10, 03:24 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Other outcomes in Alaska At-Large Primary Winners
- Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?
- Will Gavin Solomon advance from the AK-AL primary election?
- Will Matthew "Bronco" Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?
- Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?
- Will Matt Schultz advance from the AK-AL primary election?