Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 14.0¢
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Return if right
- 614.3%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.
YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $155.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 24%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Netanyahu, Addressing U.N., Denounces Israel’s Critics as ‘Moral Cowards’The New York Times · 13m ago
- Netanyahu Lashes Out at Foes in U.N. Speech, Including MamdaniThe New York Times · 17m ago
- With Netanyahu at the U.N., Mamdani plants an olive tree with PalestiniansThe Washington Post · 47m ago
- WATCH: Mass walkout before Netanyahu speech prompts fiery response from Israeli prime ministerFox News · 52m ago
- Netanyahu says "shame on you" to Mamdani, claims "Jews no longer feel safe"CBS News · 1h ago
- Susan Sarandon, Hannah Einbinder Detained at United Nations Netanyahu ProtestThe Hollywood Reporter · 1h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.