Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 75%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.30 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
NO wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10714.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $24900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- What to know about the US primaries in Connecticut, Vermont, and AlabamaAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- ‘Criminal alien’ duo charged in deadly Connecticut home invasion as DHS moves to yank green cardsFox News · 4d ago
- Suspects in deadly Connecticut home invasion arrested in attack that rocked beach townFox News · 6d ago
- WATCH: Connecticut man speaks out after shark attack in the BahamasABC News · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.