Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Q: Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Prediction markets currently price this at 8%. A YES share costs 7.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1198.7% over 4.7mo.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?$11k liquidity$8.0M volumecloses 4.7mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 7.7¢
Implied chance: 7.7%
Return if right: 1198.7%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 1298.7 shares at 7.7¢ each.

YES wins: $1298.70 back, a profit of $1198.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $99.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $1298.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 93.4¢
Implied chance: 93.4%
Return if right: 7.1%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 107.1 shares at 93.4¢ each.

NO wins: $107.07 back, a profit of $7.07. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.70.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 10, 08:35 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.