Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 61.0¢
- Implied chance
- 61.0%
- Return if right
- 63.9%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 163.9 shares at 61.0¢ each.
YES wins: $163.93 back, a profit of $63.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $17.88 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 5, 05:07 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Driver Strikes 4 People Outside a Mall in British Columbia, Killing 2, Police SayThe New York Times · 4d ago
- British Columbia sues OpenAI and Sam Altman over Tumbler Ridge mass school shootingThe Guardian · 13d ago
- British Columbia Sues OpenAI Over Tumbler Ridge ShootingThe New York Times · 13d ago
- British Columbia Premier says "America can't be trusted," claims relationship brokenCBS News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Colum…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
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