Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Q: Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 48%. A YES share costs 48.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 108.3% over 20d.

British Columbia General Election Winner$9k liquidity$7k volumecloses 20d

CanadaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionBritish ColumbiaGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 48.0¢
Implied chance: 48.0%
Return if right: 108.3%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.

YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $124.72.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 59.0¢
Implied chance: 59.0%
Return if right: 69.5%
Spread cost: 13%

If you put in $100

You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.

NO wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $80.18.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 5, 05:02 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. A candidate will be considered a member of the party they contest the election under. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).