Will Napoli finish last in UCL league phase?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.5¢
- Implied chance
- 0.5%
- Return if right
- 19900.0%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 20000.0 shares at 0.5¢ each.
YES wins: $20000.00 back, a profit of $19900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $33233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:56 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Odegaard strike earns Arsenal narrow victory at NapoliBBC Sport · 14d ago
- Misfiring Arsenal beat Napoli with Odegaard stunner in Champions LeagueAl Jazeera · 14d ago
- LIVE: Napoli vs Arsenal – Champions LeagueAl Jazeera · 15d ago
- Napoli vs Arsenal: Champions League – prediction, teams, lineupsAl Jazeera · 15d ago
- Napoli’s Scott McTominay undergoes successful heart surgeryAl Jazeera · 16d ago
- Napoli’s ex Man Utd star McTominay needs surgery for irregular heartbeatAl Jazeera · 23d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Napoli finish last in UCL league phase?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish last in the league phase, the associated market will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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