Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 28.0¢
- Implied chance
- 28.0%
- Return if right
- 257.1%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 357.1 shares at 28.0¢ each.
YES wins: $357.14 back, a profit of $257.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $51.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $308.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $32.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 09:02 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.