Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $40 in August?

Q: Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $40 in August?

Prediction markets currently price this at 99%. A YES share costs 99.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1.0% over 21d.

What will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit in August 2026?$0 liquidity$0 volumecloses 21d

FinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth Finance

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.0¢
Implied chance: 99.0%
Return if right: 1.0%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.

NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 05:03 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (LOW) $40 in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during August 2026, any 1-minute candle for MicroStrategy (MSTR) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD