Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 30.0¢
- Implied chance
- 30.0%
- Return if right
- 233.3%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.
YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $244.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 72.0¢
- Implied chance
- 72.0%
- Return if right
- 38.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.
NO wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $40.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 24, 12:34 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- This market shift resembles the post–World War II era — and bond yields could have room to go higher, says Morgan StanleyMarketWatch · 3h ago
- The One Line in Anthropic's S-1 That Amazon Investors Should Read FirstYahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Higher Oil as Key Risk for EquitiesBloomberg · 3h ago
- Anthropic Has a $65 Billion Run Rate. Buy These Stocks to Profit From It.Yahoo Finance · 4h ago
- Inherent, founded by DeepMind alumni, says its AI ‘teammate’ just outperformed Anthropic and OpenAI at replicating researchTechCrunch · 2d ago
- Americans are Turning Against AI — Anthropic Says It Could Hurt IPOYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates se…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
- Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?