Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 74.0¢
- Implied chance
- 74.0%
- Return if right
- 35.1%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.
YES wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 29.0¢
- Implied chance
- 29.0%
- Return if right
- 244.8%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.
NO wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 6, 09:12 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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How this market resolves
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.