Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $43.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 90.0¢
- Implied chance
- 90.0%
- Return if right
- 11.1%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.
NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Mitch McConnell swarmed by security as reporter pleads: 'Can you say a word for us?'Fox News · 1d ago
- Kentucky Gov. Beshear says he hasn't spoken with Mitch McConnellCBS News · 9d ago
- Mitch McConnell returns to Senate after 3 monthsCBS News · 9d ago
- Mitch McConnell casts Senate vote after monthslong absence from Capitol HillCBS News · 9d ago
- Mitch McConnell Returns to the Senate After 3-Month AbsenceNBC News · 9d ago
- David Popp: Senior adviser, former Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.)The Hill · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.