Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 30.0¢
- Implied chance
- 30.0%
- Return if right
- 233.3%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.
YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $192.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $426.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 63%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $23.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Milton Paiva20.5%
- José Maria Neves48.5%
- Joana Rosa15.0%
- Janine Lélis13.5%
- Péricles Tavares16.0%
- Fernando Delgado7.0%
Latest: Aug 11, 03:40 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Cape Verde's Vozinha gets hero's welcome in first appearance before Chile fansFrance 24 · 5d ago
- Cape Verde: Illegal sand extractions for construction industry erodes coastlineFrance 24 · 5d ago
- Cape Verde’s World Cup hero, social media sensation Vozinha joins Colo-ColoAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Cape Verde coach Bubista resigns as Ivory Coast reappoint RenardBBC Sport · 7d ago
- Cape Verde's Vozinha signs with Chile's most decorated football clubFrance 24 · 7d ago
- Vozinha gets hero’s welcome in Chile after Cape Verde’s historic World CupAl Jazeera · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Milton Paiva win the Cape Verde presidential election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Other outcomes in Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
- Will Casimiro de Pina win the Cape Verde presidential election?
- Will Fernando Delgado win the Cape Verde presidential election?
- Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?
- Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election?
- Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?
- Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election?