Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.1¢
- Implied chance
- 7.1%
- Return if right
- 1308.5%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 1408.5 shares at 7.1¢ each.
YES wins: $1408.45 back, a profit of $1308.45. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1001.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $2309.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.8¢
- Implied chance
- 98.8%
- Return if right
- 1.2%
- Spread cost
- 72%
If you put in $100
You get 101.2 shares at 98.8¢ each.
NO wins: $101.21 back, a profit of $1.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Mike Trout4.2%
- Yordan Alvarez80.5%
- Anthony Santander5.0%
- Zack Gelof3.3%
- Jonathan India0.8%
- Gerrit Cole3.8%
Latest: Aug 24, 02:54 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year
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- Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- Will Jonathan India win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- Will Adley Rutschman win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- Will Anthony Santander win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
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