Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 59.0¢
- Implied chance
- 59.0%
- Return if right
- 69.5%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.
YES wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 42.0¢
- Implied chance
- 42.0%
- Return if right
- 138.1%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.
NO wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $140.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 10:19 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- 'A huge award' - O'Reilly named PFA young player of the yearBBC Sport · 1h ago
- O'Reilly: Trump endorsement 'doesn't have the cachet that it did' because of IranThe Hill · 5d ago
- Advance Auto Parts Plunges 21% as Revenue Miss Overshadows Earnings Beat; AutoZone Falls 4%, O’Reilly Automotive SlipsYahoo Finance · 5d ago
- O'Reilly: Trump can't let Iranians 'make him look like a loser'The Hill · 6d ago
- O'Reilly: 'I don't believe the American public are going to buy the socialist communist lunacy'The Hill · 12d ago
- O'Reilly on Trump pressuring Iran toward a deal: 'I don't think he's flailing'The Hill · 14d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Kamloops, British Columbia mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kamloops, British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kamloops, British Columbia.