Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Q: Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 78%. A YES share costs 77.5¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 29.0% over 15d.

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner$18k liquidity$86k volumecloses 15d

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryOklahoma PrimaryJune 16 PrimariesUS Election

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 77.5¢
Implied chance: 77.5%
Return if right: 29.0%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 129.0 shares at 77.5¢ each.

YES wins: $129.03 back, a profit of $29.03. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $31.49.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 25.4¢
Implied chance: 25.4%
Return if right: 293.7%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 393.7 shares at 25.4¢ each.

NO wins: $393.70 back, a profit of $293.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $317.54.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:18 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.