Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Q: Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 34%. A YES share costs 34.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 194.1% over 1d.

Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner$44k liquidity$249k volumecloses 1d

primary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryMinnesota PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesUS Election

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 34.0¢
Implied chance: 34.0%
Return if right: 194.1%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $198.51.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 67.0¢
Implied chance: 67.0%
Return if right: 49.3%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 149.3 shares at 67.0¢ each.

NO wins: $149.25 back, a profit of $49.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $50.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 02:57 AM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.