Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.3¢
- Implied chance
- 4.3%
- Return if right
- 2225.6%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 2325.6 shares at 4.3¢ each.
YES wins: $2325.58 back, a profit of $2225.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $238.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $2464.10.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.5¢
- Implied chance
- 96.5%
- Return if right
- 3.6%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 103.6 shares at 96.5¢ each.
NO wins: $103.63 back, a profit of $3.63. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Michael Saylor: I Never Sold Bitcoin, MicroStrategy DidYahoo Finance · 7d ago
- MicroStrategy Added 37 Bitcoin in Two Months. Then It Sold 1,638 in One WeekYahoo Finance · 7d ago
- Michael Saylor Shuts Down Viral $5 Billion MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale ClaimsYahoo Finance · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.