Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.0¢
- Implied chance
- 7.0%
- Return if right
- 1328.6%
- Spread cost
- 37%
If you put in $100
You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $793.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 57%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Decades of abuse revealed at Michigan art school. And, the Iran war's impact on midtermsNPR · 2h ago
- Flock Safety cameras need constitutional guardrails before further deployment, Tennessee mayor arguesFox News · 14h ago
- Bernie's revolution gets a test run for 2028 in Michigan and WisconsinAxios · 16h ago
- Fetterman 'dares' El-Sayed to stick with Piker, claims Michigan nominee has 'little man syndrome energy'Fox News · 19h ago
- El-Sayed spoke with Obama as Michigan Democrats look to uniteABC News · 22h ago
- El-Sayed reveals he spoke with Obama after Michigan Senate primary winThe Hill · 22h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).