Will Michael Urie – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 36.9¢
- Implied chance
- 36.9%
- Return if right
- 171.0%
- Spread cost
- 57%
If you put in $100
You get 271.0 shares at 36.9¢ each.
YES wins: $271.00 back, a profit of $171.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $225.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $396.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.6¢
- Implied chance
- 96.6%
- Return if right
- 3.5%
- Spread cost
- 86%
If you put in $100
You get 103.5 shares at 96.6¢ each.
NO wins: $103.52 back, a profit of $3.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Michael Urie – “Shrinking”18.6%
- Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay”39.5%
- Harrison Ford – “Shrinking”41.5%
- Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”4.4%
- Paul W. Downs – “Hacks”7.1%
- Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons”3.0%
Latest: Aug 12, 02:57 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Michael Urie – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series
- Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
- Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
- Will Nick Offerman – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
- Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
- Will Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
- Will Colman Domingo – “The Four Seasons” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?