Will Michael J Moncek win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?

Q: Will Michael J Moncek win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?

Prediction markets currently price this at 0%. A YES share costs 0.3¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 33233.3% over 3.7mo.

WSOP: Player of the Year Winner$846 liquidity$402 volumecloses 3.7mo

WSOPPokerSportsEsportsWorld Series of Poker

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 0.3¢
Implied chance: 0.3%
Return if right: 33233.3%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.

YES wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $49900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 50%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.20.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:49 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Michael J Moncek win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who finishes in 1st place on the official 2026 World Series of Poker Player of the Year (POY) leaderboard at the conclusion of all POY-qualifying events. If a player not individually listed as an outcome finishes 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve to "Other". If two or more players are tied for 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve according to the official WSOP POY tiebreaker procedure. If a tie remains with no official resolution, the market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WSOP POY race is cancelled, or a final leaderboard is not determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from WSOP (https://www.wsop.com/2026-poy/poy-leaderboard/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.