Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 17.0¢
- Implied chance
- 17.0%
- Return if right
- 488.2%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 588.2 shares at 17.0¢ each.
YES wins: $588.24 back, a profit of $488.24. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $181.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
NO wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Michael13.0%
- The Odyssey97.9%
- Dune: Part Three89.5%
- Project Hail Mary80.5%
- Wild Horse Nine82.5%
- Fjord66.0%
Latest: Aug 11, 05:09 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Aca…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
- Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?