Will Melissa Cseszko win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.9¢
- Implied chance
- 5.9%
- Return if right
- 1594.9%
- Spread cost
- 36%
If you put in $100
You get 1694.9 shares at 5.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1694.92 back, a profit of $1594.92. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $902.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $2497.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.2¢
- Implied chance
- 98.2%
- Return if right
- 1.8%
- Spread cost
- 54%
If you put in $100
You get 101.8 shares at 98.2¢ each.
NO wins: $101.83 back, a profit of $1.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Victoria to ban suppression orders for rapists following Ralph Carr, Tom Silvagni convictions under new pledgeThe Guardian · 6h ago
- ‘Won’t happen’: One Nation Victoria leader’s comments raise questions about Hanson’s mass deportations policyThe Guardian · 6d ago
- What Ben Carroll’s cabinet cuts say about his ‘new direction’ for VictoriaThe Guardian · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Melissa Cseszko win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Victoria, BC mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Victoria as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Victoria.