Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election?

Sault Ste. Marie, ON Mayoral Election Winner$326 liquidity$80 volumecloses 2.1mo
CanadaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionWorld ElectionsGlobal Elections
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
65.0¢
Implied chance
65.0%
Return if right
53.8%
Spread cost
72%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $136.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $189.86.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
96.0¢
Implied chance
96.0%
Return if right
4.2%
Spread cost
92%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $48.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $52.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

The 2026 Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario.

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