Will Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.2¢
- Implied chance
- 7.2%
- Return if right
- 1288.9%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 1388.9 shares at 7.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1388.89 back, a profit of $1288.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $137.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $1426.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.1¢
- Implied chance
- 94.1%
- Return if right
- 6.3%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 106.3 shares at 94.1¢ each.
NO wins: $106.27 back, a profit of $6.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.01.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”6.6%
- Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”91.4%
- Steve Carell – “Rooster”0.4%
- Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man”0.6%
- Jason Segel – “Shrinking”2.5%
Latest: Aug 10, 03:27 PM
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building” win Emmys…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series
- Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
- Will Jason Segel – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
- Will Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – “Wonder Man” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?
- Will Steve Carell – “Rooster” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?