Will Mark Kelly be the next US Senate Minority Leader?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $750.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $1900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 61%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.26.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 5, 05:49 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sen. Mark Kelly says he's seen "a lot of energy" among Democratic votersCBS News · 16h ago
- Transcript: Sen. Mark Kelly on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 4, 2026CBS News · 17h ago
- Sen. Mark Kelly says Democrats have to 'do a better job'ABC News · 8d ago
- Mark Kelly: Trump 'stuck' with Iran and wants to 'get back to where he was before' war startedThe Hill · 8d ago
- Arizona Senator Mark Kelly to Introduce New AI Workforce BillBloomberg · 12d ago
- Mark Kelly: US military 'doesn’t need more testosterone'The Hill · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Mark Kelly be the next US Senate Minority Leader?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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