Will Marianne Utterdahl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?

Q: Will Marianne Utterdahl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?

Prediction markets currently price this at 37%. A YES share costs 37.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 170.3% over 1.1mo.

Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?$70 liquidity$38 volumecloses 1.1mo

SwedenPoliticsElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 37.0¢
Implied chance: 37.0%
Return if right: 170.3%
Spread cost: 53%

If you put in $100

You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.

YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $194.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 94.0¢
Implied chance: 94.0%
Return if right: 6.4%
Spread cost: 77%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $21.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 11, 04:38 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Marianne Utterdahl be the next Regional Board Chair of …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Värmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.