Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 55%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
YES wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $32.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $58.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 53.0¢
- Implied chance
- 53.0%
- Return if right
- 88.7%
- Spread cost
- 48%
If you put in $100
You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.
NO wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $81.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $170.27.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 9, 12:24 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral elec…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Burlington, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Burlington, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Burlington, Ontario.