Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?

Nitra Mayoral Election Winner$558 liquidity$82 volumecloses 1.8mo
MayoralPoliticsslovakiaMain ElectionGlobal Elections
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
19.0¢
Implied chance
19.0%
Return if right
426.3%
Spread cost
19%

If you put in $100

You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.

YES wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $98.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $525.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
87.0¢
Implied chance
87.0%
Return if right
14.9%
Spread cost
22%

If you put in $100

You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.

NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%16%57%21%4%Aug 31Sep 1

Latest: Sep 1, 01:12 PM

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

The 2026 Nitra mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Nitra as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nitra, Nitra Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Source: https://volby.statistics.sk/

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Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election? (19% chance) | PullToPar