Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Q: Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Prediction markets currently price this at 86%. A YES share costs 86.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 16.3% over 1.3mo.

Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?$11k liquidity$3k volumecloses 1.3mo

GermanyPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGerman ElectionsGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 86.0¢
Implied chance: 86.0%
Return if right: 16.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 116.3 shares at 86.0¢ each.

YES wins: $116.28 back, a profit of $16.28. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.96.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 15.0¢
Implied chance: 15.0%
Return if right: 566.7%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.

NO wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $589.66.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

No price history for this window.

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Meck…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.