Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $83.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
NO wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Could Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League?BBC Sport · 14h ago
- Manchester City charges: ‘Everyone knew’ – Marsch says relegation to followAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- UAE may halt UK investments after Manchester City guilty verdictThe Guardian · 5d ago
- Manchester City’s guilty verdict brings football’s great sell-off crashing to earthThe Guardian · 5d ago
- Manchester City appeal Premier League financial breach rulingAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Andy Burnham urged by Lib Dems to reveal all meetings with owners of Manchester CityThe Guardian · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the independent Regulatory Commission's decision finding that Manchester City FC breached Premier League rules in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) is overturned in full by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The decision will count as overturned in full if the Appeal Board, or any other court or tribunal with jurisdiction, officially sets aside every finding that Manchester City FC breached Premier League rules in this case, including where the case is sent back for a new hearing. A decision that sets aside only some of the findings, or that only reduces or changes the sanctions imposed, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.