Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?

Q: Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?

Prediction markets currently price this at 96%. A YES share costs 96.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4.2% over 5.2mo.

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16$10k liquidity$72 volumecloses 5.2mo

UCLSoccerSportsChampions League

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 35%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

YES wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 8.0¢
Implied chance: 8.0%
Return if right: 1150.0%
Spread cost: 27%

If you put in $100

You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $416.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $1566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 04:05 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.