Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?

How many Premier League points will Manchester City be deducted?$5k liquidity$1k volumecloses 8.8mo
EPLSoccerSportsMan CityManchester CityMan City Case
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BUY YES

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Cost
34.0¢
Implied chance
34.0%
Return if right
194.1%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.

YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
68.0¢
Implied chance
68.0%
Return if right
47.1%
Spread cost
4%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28Oct 5

Latest: Oct 5, 06:42 AM1 further outcome not shown

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the total number of Premier League points Manchester City FC is deducted as a sanction as a result of the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case), as officially determined as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If a points deduction is reduced, increased, or overturned on appeal and the appeal decision is officially announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced deduction will be used. If deductions are applied across more than one season, the total across all seasons will count. A suspended points deduction that is not immediately applied will not count. If no points deduction has been imposed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0". If, as of June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the most recent officially announced sanction in this case expels Manchester City FC from the Premier League, this market will resolve to "Expelled", regardless of any points deduction. Each range includes both of its bounds, so every whole number of points maps to exactly one option. For example, a deduction of 10 points resolves to "10-19", and a deduction of 50 points resolves to "50+". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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