Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?$54 liquidity$3k volumecloses 21d
IranTrumpUS-IranPoliticsPeace DealGeopolitics
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
46.0¢
Implied chance
46.0%
Return if right
117.4%
Spread cost
52%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

YES wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $127.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $244.83.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
88.0¢
Implied chance
88.0%
Return if right
13.6%
Spread cost
67%

If you put in $100

You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.

NO wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $27.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $40.85.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 08:40 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meet”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?

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